The number-setters left 8 points of Kent State on the table

Vegas hung Miami (OH) as a 30.7-point favorite over Kent State, treating this like a wipe-the-floor mismatch. The smart read had it a lot closer — Miami the better side, sure, but by something more like 22 points. That's a gap of nearly 9 points between what the bookmakers said and what an honest look at these two teams said. The takeaway was simple: the market was selling Kent State short.