We liked Tennessee by a touchdown-plus. They won by 71.

Going in, the smart read was that the betting public had Tennessee pegged too low. The market made the Volunteers a big favorite, but our number on them was bigger still — a gap of about 9.4 points between what we thought they were worth and what the line said. That gap matters: it's roughly the difference between calling a team a coin-flip-and-a-half favorite and calling them a heavy one. We thought Tennessee was the stronger side by even more than the public believed. Then they went out and won 71-0, and even that confident lean undersold what happened.