Kent State vs. Tennessee: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
KENTTeam statsTENN
- Q4 14:05TENNMax Gilbert 21 Yd Field Goal 0–71
- Q3 12:04TENNMax Gilbert 36 Yd Field Goal 0–68
- Q2 0:19TENNMike Matthews 18 Yd pass from Gaston Moore (Max Gilbert Kick)0–65
- Q2 3:06TENNMiles Kitselman 15 Yd pass from Gaston Moore (Max Gilbert Kick)0–58
- Q2 7:49TENNDylan Sampson 14 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–51
- Q2 13:06TENNDeSean Bishop 47 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–44
- Q1 0:02TENNDylan Sampson 1 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–37
- Q1 3:35TENNDeSean Bishop 53 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–30
- Q1 5:56TENNChris Brazzell II 53 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick)0–23
- Q1 8:11TENNDylan Sampson 1 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–16
- Q1 10:35TENNTeam Safety 0–9
- Q1 11:32TENND. Sampson run for 22 yds for a TD (M. Gilbert KICK)0–7
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- KENT played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and TENN did not face the same ones. 3rd & 6.8 vs 3rd & 4.5
- PassDevin Kargman 9/15, 58 YDS
- RushJD Sherrod 7 CAR, 56 YDS
- RecChrishon McCray 3 REC, 27 YDS
- PassNico Iamaleava 10/16, 173 YDS, 1 TD
- RushDeSean Bishop 7 CAR, 120 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDont'e Thornton Jr. 2 REC, 64 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTENN up 68 entering the 4th quarter. Across 46 historically comparable game states (within ±5 pts and ±8 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Kent State vs. Tennessee?
Kent State 0, Tennessee 71.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TENN) was correct.
| KENT | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 112 | Total yards | 740 |
| 58 | Passing yards | 284 |
| 54 | Rushing yards | 456 |
| 8 | First downs | 32 |
| 2-12 | 3rd down | 9-15 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 3-4 |
| 9/16 | Comp/Att | 16/25 |
| 3.6 | Yards per pass | 11.4 |
| 1.7 | Yards per rush | 8.3 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 2-7 | Penalties | 5-54 |
| 28:10 | Possession | 31:50 |
Costliest call
Q4 14:05 TENN field goal on 4th & 3 at KENT 3. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 14:05TENNMax Gilbert 21 Yd Field Goal 0–71
- Q3 12:04TENNMax Gilbert 36 Yd Field Goal 0–68
- Q2 0:19TENNMike Matthews 18 Yd pass from Gaston Moore (Max Gilbert Kick)0–65
- Q2 3:06TENNMiles Kitselman 15 Yd pass from Gaston Moore (Max Gilbert Kick)0–58
- Q2 7:49TENNDylan Sampson 14 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–51
- Q2 13:06TENNDeSean Bishop 47 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–44
- Q1 0:02TENNDylan Sampson 1 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–37
- Q1 3:35TENNDeSean Bishop 53 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–30
- Q1 5:56TENNChris Brazzell II 53 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick)0–23
- Q1 8:11TENNDylan Sampson 1 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)0–16
- Q1 10:35TENNTeam Safety 0–9
- Q1 11:32TENND. Sampson run for 22 yds for a TD (M. Gilbert KICK)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TENN Elo 1845, KENT Elo 1108 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TENN -31.9 (97% to win) — 17.1 points clear of KENT's market line of -49. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| KENT | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| -36.6 (#134) | CORE overall | +17.7 (#13) |
| -16 / +21 | offense / defense | +4 / -14 |
| 0.90 | points / drive | 2.62 |
| 3.75 | allowed / drive | 1.29 |
| 42% | three-and-outs | 23% |
| -5 | pass over expected | -3 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →