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DeSean Bishop

#18DeSean Bishop

RB·Tennessee·20253.6 pts line value1st Round

DeSean Bishop is a Explosive Back for Tennessee. DeSean's 2025 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 196 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So DeSean Bishop's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
1076 Rush yards16 Rush TD182 Carries5.9 Yards/carry
Receiving
15 Receptions135 Rec yards0 Rec TD9.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency93
  • Volume61
  • Explosiveness58
  • Consistency79
  • Receiving38
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.20 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.82 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Alabama (SP+ 15).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8200.82Wk 1 vs Syracuse: +0.70 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs East Tennessee State: +0.34 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Georgia: -0.05 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs UAB: +0.72 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Mississippi State: +0.24 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Arkansas: +0.69 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Alabama: +0.82 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Kentucky: +0.36 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Oklahoma: +0.02 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs New Mexico State: +0.34 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida: +0.38 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Vanderbilt: +0.11 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsSyracuseW45-26-13.111827.5124400.70
2vsEast Tennessee StateW72-1736822.700.34
3vsGeorgiaL41-4424.115543.60-0.05
4vsUABW56-24-15.89596.620.72
5@Mississippi StateW41-344.111726.511000.24
7vsArkansasW34-315.11414610.410.69
8@AlabamaL20-3714.8141238.820.82
9@KentuckyW56-341.814483.420.36
10vsOklahomaL27-3318.312383.2045100.02
12vsNew Mexico StateW42-9-15.516805.0142600.34
13@FloridaW31-113.5241164.820.38
14vsVanderbiltL24-4520.320974.921600.11
20vsIllinoisL28-3012.919934.92380

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
21.3%
Passing plays
4.4%
Rushing plays
38.1%
Standard downs
24.1%
Passing downs
13.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.28
Passing downs
0.62
Pass / Rush EPA
0.09 / 0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.910−0.13
EPA per play · 2025 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.