UVA Wise vs. East Tennessee State: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

UVA Wise

00

East Tennessee State0-1

▸0061

Final

William B. Greene Jr. Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
UVA	0	0	0	0	0
EAST	14	20	17	10	61

UVA Team statsEAST

114Total yards614

84Pass360

30Rush254

5First downs27

3-173rd down4-12

2Turnovers0

30:10Possession29:50

Scoring plays

• Q4 9:01EASTTorey Lambert 3 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–61
• Q4 13:21EASTEwan Johnson 36 Yd Field Goal 0–54
• Q3 5:32EASTEwan Johnson 27 Yd Field Goal 0–51
• Q3 9:01EASTTrey Foster 1 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–48
• Q3 12:45EASTJonathan Burns 33 Yd pass from Gino English (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–41
• Q2 7:57EASTXavier Gaillardetz 37 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–34
• Q2 11:14EASTNick Hunter 13 Yd Interception Return (Ewan Johnson PAT failed)0–27
• Q2 12:07EASTAJ Johnson 8 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–21
• Q1 11:10EASTEphraim Floyd 9 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–14
• Q1 14:25EASTCameron Lewis 12 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–7

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

EAST 100%50%UVA 100%

Kickoff161 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

EAST (top)UVA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: EAST 100%

Leaders

UVA Wise

• PassJake Corkren 8/24, 59 YDS, 1 INT
• RushDejauvis Dozier 11 CAR, 19 YDS
• RecDJ Powell 3 REC, 47 YDS

East Tennessee State

• PassJaylen King 16/27, 186 YDS, 4 TD
• RushBryson Irby 7 CAR, 71 YDS
• RecJonathan Burns 3 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

25.3sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

142

Points / snap

0.43

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

EAST up 51 entering the 4th quarter. Across 75 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

EAST went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WNicholls vs Southern51-7WTulane vs UAB71-20WMonmouth vs Hampton61-10WNorth Dakota State vs Western Illinois52-7WPresbyterian vs Virginia University Of Lynchburg52-0

Fourth downs

21 calls

UVA gave up 1.4 points to the model on fourth down.UVA 10/12 · EAST 7/7 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of UVA Wise vs. East Tennessee State?

UVA Wise 0, East Tennessee State 61.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (EAST) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

UVA

EAST

15%

Success rate

49%

-0.37

EPA / pass

0.39

-0.42

EPA / rush

0.21

12%

Early-down success

54%

13%

Pass success

46%

17%

Rush success

54%

5%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

17%

33%

Stuffed rush rate

16%

51%

Pass rate

54%

8.3

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.5

UVA

8.3 yards to go on 3rd down

61 scrimmage snaps

EAST

7.5 yards to go on 3rd down

81 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

UVA		EAST
114	Total yards	614
84	Passing yards	360
30	Rushing yards	254
5	First downs	27
3-17	3rd down	4-12
0-1	4th down	1-3
10/27	Comp/Att	26/42
3.1	Yards per pass	8.6
1.0	Yards per rush	6.9
2	Turnovers	0
8-65	Penalties	1-10
30:10	Possession	29:50

Fourth downs

21 calls

UVA

10/12 with the model

−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob

EAST

7/7 with the model

nothing given up

Costliest call

Q1 5:36 UVA punt on 4th & 15 at EAST 36. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.75 points.

Every call, priced (21)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

UVA 1/17 scoring drives← own end zone →EAST 9/15 scoring drives

UVA FUM1 pl, -6 yds· own 25Q1

EASTTD2 pl, 19 yds· opp 19Q1

UVA PUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 25Q1

EASTTD5 pl, 57 yds· own 43Q1

UVA PUNT11 pl, 45 yds· own 19Q1

EASTDOWNS7 pl, 55 yds· own 8Q1

UVA PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 37Q1

EASTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 33Q1

UVA PUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 29Q1

EASTTD8 pl, 51 yds· own 49Q2

UVA TD3 pl, 1 yds· own 23Q2

UVA PUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q2

EASTTD4 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q2

UVA PUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q2

EASTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 20Q2

UVA PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 32Q2

EASTMISS11 pl, 56 yds· own 21Q2

UVA END1 pl, -1 yds· own 23Q2

EASTPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 29Q3

UVA PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 31Q3

EASTTD2 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q3

UVA PUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 20Q3

EASTTD5 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q3

UVA PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 17Q3

EASTFG8 pl, 53 yds· own 37Q3

UVA PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q3

EASTFG10 pl, 50 yds· own 31Q3

UVA PUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q4

EASTTD6 pl, 51 yds· own 49Q4

UVA DOWNS7 pl, 33 yds· own 25Q4

EASTDOWNS5 pl, 33 yds· own 42Q4

UVA END3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 9:01EASTTorey Lambert 3 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–61
• Q4 13:21EASTEwan Johnson 36 Yd Field Goal 0–54
• Q3 5:32EASTEwan Johnson 27 Yd Field Goal 0–51
• Q3 9:01EASTTrey Foster 1 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–48
• Q3 12:45EASTJonathan Burns 33 Yd pass from Gino English (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–41
• Q2 7:57EASTXavier Gaillardetz 37 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–34
• Q2 11:14EASTNick Hunter 13 Yd Interception Return (Ewan Johnson PAT failed)0–27
• Q2 12:07EASTAJ Johnson 8 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–21
• Q1 11:10EASTEphraim Floyd 9 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–14
• Q1 14:25EASTCameron Lewis 12 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →