Wyoming vs. Colorado: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WYOTeam statsCOLO
- Q4 1:46COLOKaidon Salter 35 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)20–37
- Q4 4:32WYOChris Durr Jr. 7 Yd pass from Kaden Anderson (Erik Sandvik Kick)20–30
- Q4 14:55COLOTeam Safety 13–30
- Q3 3:30WYOErik Sandvik 38 Yd Field Goal 13–28
- Q3 12:25WYOEric Richardson 41 Yd pass from Kaden Anderson (Erik Sandvik Kick)10–28
- Q3 13:55COLOJoseph Williams 47 Yd pass from Kaidon Salter (Alejandro Mata Kick)3–28
- Q2 3:08COLOSimeon Price 1 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)3–21
- Q2 7:37COLOSincere Brown 68 Yd pass from Kaidon Salter (Alejandro Mata Kick)3–14
- Q2 9:39WYOErik Sandvik 28 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q2 14:12COLOOmarion Miller 29 Yd pass from Kaidon Salter (Alejandro Mata Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassKaden Anderson 11/25, 176 YDS, 2 TD
- RushSamuel Harris 19 CAR, 126 YDS
- RecChris Durr Jr. 5 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
- PassKaidon Salter 18/28, 304 YDS, 3 TD
- RushKaidon Salter 11 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
- RecOmarion Miller 6 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsCOLO up 15 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,206 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 14:12COLO +13%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Omarion Miller for 29 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
- Q2 7:37COLO +10%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Sincere Brown for 68 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
- Q2 9:39WYO +5%
Erik Sandvik 28 yd FG GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Wyoming vs. Colorado?
Wyoming 20, Colorado 37.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (COLO) was correct.
| WYO | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 347 | Total yards | 497 |
| 182 | Passing yards | 304 |
| 165 | Rushing yards | 193 |
| 20 | First downs | 23 |
| 5-13 | 3rd down | 5-10 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 12/26 | Comp/Att | 18/28 |
| 7.0 | Yards per pass | 10.9 |
| 4.0 | Yards per rush | 6.2 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-80 | Penalties | 5-53 |
| 32:04 | Possession | 27:56 |
Costliest call
Q1 5:04 WYO punt on 4th & 2 at WYO 43. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.60 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:46COLOKaidon Salter 35 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)20–37
- Q4 4:32WYOChris Durr Jr. 7 Yd pass from Kaden Anderson (Erik Sandvik Kick)20–30
- Q4 14:55COLOTeam Safety 13–30
- Q3 3:30WYOErik Sandvik 38 Yd Field Goal 13–28
- Q3 12:25WYOEric Richardson 41 Yd pass from Kaden Anderson (Erik Sandvik Kick)10–28
- Q3 13:55COLOJoseph Williams 47 Yd pass from Kaidon Salter (Alejandro Mata Kick)3–28
- Q2 3:08COLOSimeon Price 1 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)3–21
- Q2 7:37COLOSincere Brown 68 Yd pass from Kaidon Salter (Alejandro Mata Kick)3–14
- Q2 9:39WYOErik Sandvik 28 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q2 14:12COLOOmarion Miller 29 Yd pass from Kaidon Salter (Alejandro Mata Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (COLO Elo 1604, WYO Elo 1339 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects COLO -13 (81% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesColorado leads 24–2–1 · Colorado has won 4 straight · 22% have been one-possession games
| WYO | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| -15.3 (#111) | CORE overall | -11.9 (#101) |
| -18 / -3 | offense / defense | -5 / +7 |
| 1.07 | points / drive | 1.79 |
| 1.65 | allowed / drive | 2.55 |
| 30% | three-and-outs | 30% |
| -2 | pass over expected | -1 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →