Washington State vs. Utah State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WSUTeam statsUSU
- Q4 1:48USUJaven Jacobs 26 Yd pass from Jacob Conover (Tanner Rinker Kick)34–21
- Q4 4:06WSUJulian Dugger 34 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)34–14
- Q4 10:09USUJ. Conover pass to B. Boyd for 21 yds, for a TD (T. Rinker KICK)27–14
- Q4 14:11WSULandon Wright 39 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)27–7
- Q3 2:27USUBryson Barnes 2 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)20–7
- Q3 7:31WSUJack Stevens 25 Yd Field Goal 20–0
- Q3 11:25WSUJack Stevens 23 Yd Field Goal 17–0
- Q2 4:43WSUHudson Cedarland 1 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)14–0
- Q1 7:08WSUMackenzie Alleyne 41 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassZevi Eckhaus 26/44, 334 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
- RushMaxwell Woods 9 CAR, 117 YDS
- RecJoshua Meredith 8 REC, 84 YDS
- PassBryson Barnes 9/21, 116 YDS, 1 INT
- RushJaven Jacobs 3 CAR, 24 YDS
- RecBrady Boyd 4 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Washington State vs. Utah State?
Washington State 34, Utah State 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WSU) was correct.
| WSU | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 628 | Total yards | 254 |
| 373 | Passing yards | 194 |
| 255 | Rushing yards | 60 |
| 30 | First downs | 13 |
| 9-18 | 3rd down | 3-13 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 28/47 | Comp/Att | 14/27 |
| 7.9 | Yards per pass | 7.2 |
| 6.2 | Yards per rush | 2.3 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-72 | Penalties | 7-74 |
| 35:48 | Possession | 24:12 |
- Q4 1:48USUJaven Jacobs 26 Yd pass from Jacob Conover (Tanner Rinker Kick)34–21
- Q4 4:06WSUJulian Dugger 34 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)34–14
- Q4 10:09USUJ. Conover pass to B. Boyd for 21 yds, for a TD (T. Rinker KICK)27–14
- Q4 14:11WSULandon Wright 39 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)27–7
- Q3 2:27USUBryson Barnes 2 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)20–7
- Q3 7:31WSUJack Stevens 25 Yd Field Goal 20–0
- Q3 11:25WSUJack Stevens 23 Yd Field Goal 17–0
- Q2 4:43WSUHudson Cedarland 1 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)14–0
- Q1 7:08WSUMackenzie Alleyne 41 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (USU Elo 1462, WSU Elo 1533 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects USU +2.8 (44% to win) — 4.3 points clear of WSU's market line of -1.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| WSU | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| +10.0 (#40) | CORE overall | -4.1 (#77) |
| +3 / -7 | offense / defense | -1 / +3 |
| 2.11 | points / drive | 2.33 |
| 1.86 | allowed / drive | 2.43 |
| 27% | three-and-outs | 31% |
| +4 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →