Joe Aillet Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LT | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
LT (top)SE L (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: LT 100%
Drive-by-drive
SE L 1/12 scoring drives← own end zone →LT 3/12 scoring drives
SE LINT8 pl, 34 yds· own 25Q1
LTPUNT4 pl, 19 yds· own 4Q1
SE LPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 35Q1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
LT up 24 entering the 4th quarter. Across 555 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
LT went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of SE Louisiana vs. Louisiana Tech?
SE Louisiana 0, Louisiana Tech 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked SE L, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I had SE L pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.