Sat, Aug 30, 11:30 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LT | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
LT up 24 entering the 4th quarter. Across 555 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
SE Louisiana 0, Louisiana Tech 24.
No — the model picked SE L, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had SE L pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Kam Franklin 80 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Henderson Kick)
Kyle Lowe pass intercepted Zion Nason return for 25 yds to the LT 33
Carson Camp pass complete to Luke Besh for 35 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST down
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
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