SE Louisiana vs. Louisiana Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
SE Louisiana
Louisiana Tech
▸Final
Joe Aillet Stadium
SE LTeam statsLT
271Total yards262
145Pass126
126Rush136
18First downs14
9-183rd down3-10
3Turnovers0
27:53Possession24:31
- Q3 5:12LTKam Franklin 80 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Henderson Kick)0–24
- Q3 8:32LTClay Thevenin 2 Yd Run (Drew Henderson Kick)0–17
- Q3 12:24LTOmiri Wiggins 17 Yd pass from Trey Kukuk (Drew Henderson Kick)0–10
- Q2 0:00LTDrew Henderson 18 Yd Field Goal 0–3
How the model called it
Market line
LT −14.5
Against the number
LT covered
line LT −14.5
Kickoff153 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
LT (top)SE L (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: LT 100%
Closing line
LT −14.5
Closing total
51.0
Model line
—
Actual result
SE L 0 – 24 LT
SE Louisiana
- PassCarson Camp 11/22, 122 YDS, 1 INT
- RushJaedon Henry 8 CAR, 31 YDS
- RecLuke Besh 3 REC, 59 YDS
Louisiana Tech
- PassTrey Kukuk 13/18, 126 YDS, 1 TD
- RushClay Thevenin 6 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
- RecEli Finley 4 REC, 59 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsLT up 24 entering the 4th quarter. Across 555 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
LT went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of SE Louisiana vs. Louisiana Tech?
SE Louisiana 0, Louisiana Tech 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (LT) was correct.
SE L
LT
36%
Success rate
41%
-0.23
EPA / pass
0.03
0.08
EPA / rush
0.03
31%
Early-down success
44%
32%
Pass success
33%
39%
Rush success
47%
7%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
9%
23%
Stuffed rush rate
17%
47%
Pass rate
44%
9.9
Avg 3rd-down distance
10.4
SE L
9.9 yards to go on 3rd down
73 scrimmage snaps
LT
10.4 yards to go on 3rd down
54 scrimmage snaps
| SE L | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 271 | Total yards | 262 |
| 145 | Passing yards | 126 |
| 126 | Rushing yards | 136 |
| 18 | First downs | 14 |
| 9-18 | 3rd down | 3-10 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 15/31 | Comp/Att | 13/19 |
| 4.7 | Yards per pass | 6.6 |
| 2.9 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 7-43 | Penalties | 5-50 |
| 27:53 | Possession | 24:31 |
SE L
7/8 with the model
−0.8 pts · −0.0% win prob
LT
5/7 with the model
−0.9 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 10:06 SE L punt on 4th & 1 at SE L 36. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishSE L 1/12 scoring drives← own end zone →LT 3/12 scoring drives
SE LINT8 pl, 34 yds· own 25Q1
LTPUNT4 pl, 19 yds· own 4Q1
SE LPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 35Q1
LTPUNT3 pl, -10 yds· own 33Q1
SE LPUNT3 pl, -6 yds· own 20Q1
LTPUNT2 pl, 1 yds· opp 40Q1
SE LPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 9Q1
SE LPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 27Q2
LTPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 26Q2
LTDOWNS6 pl, 24 yds· own 49Q2
SE LDOWNS11 pl, 50 yds· own 18Q2
LTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 32Q2
SE LPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 35Q2
LTFG6 pl, 78 yds· own 20Q2
LTTD7 pl, 58 yds· own 42Q3
SE LPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q3
LTTD7 pl, 50 yds· midfieldQ3
SE LTD8 pl, 55 yds· own 25Q3
SE LINT14 pl, 70 yds· own 25Q3
LTPUNT3 pl, -12 yds· own 33Q4
SE LPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 33Q4
LTPUNT4 pl, 18 yds· own 21Q4
SE LDOWNS10 pl, 53 yds· own 9Q4
LTEND6 pl, 26 yds· own 38Q4
- Q3 5:12LTKam Franklin 80 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Henderson Kick)0–24
- Q3 8:32LTClay Thevenin 2 Yd Run (Drew Henderson Kick)0–17
- Q3 12:24LTOmiri Wiggins 17 Yd pass from Trey Kukuk (Drew Henderson Kick)0–10
- Q2 0:00LTDrew Henderson 18 Yd Field Goal 0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →