Sat, Sep 27, 10:30 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RHOD | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| WMU | 3 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 47 |
WMU up 37 entering the 4th quarter. Across 313 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Rhode Island 14, Western Michigan 47.
No — the model picked RHOD, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had RHOD pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Devin Farrell pass intercepted Micah Davis return for 45 yds to the WMU 45
Devin Farrell pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 56 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST down
Brady Jones pass intercepted Andre DePina-Gray return for no gain to the URI 15
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
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