VMI vs. Furman: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

VMI0-1

Furman0-1

▸

Final

Paladin StadiumConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
VMI	0	0	0	3	3
FURM	17	17	3	0	37

VMITeam statsFURM

189Total yards351

159Pass226

30Rush125

13First downs17

2-123rd down5-14

2Turnovers0

28:58Possession31:02

Q4 2:04VMICaden Beck 27 Yd Field Goal 3–37
Q3 6:30FURMIan Williams 36 Yd Field Goal 0–37
Q2 0:04FURMIan Williams 49 Yd Field Goal 0–34
Q2 1:44FURMKyndel Dean 34 Yd pass from Carson Jones (Ian Williams Kick)0–31
Q2 5:00FURMLuke Shiflett 12 Yd pass from Carson Jones (Axel Lepvreau Kick)0–24
Q1 5:00FURMNick Cannon 34 Yd pass from Carson Jones (Ian Williams Kick)0–17
Q1 8:01FURMIan Williams 27 Yd Field Goal 0–10
Q1 11:07FURMMason Pline 14 Yd pass from Carson Jones (Axel Lepvreau Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

FURM −21.5

Against the number

FURM covered

line FURM −21.5

What the numbers say

VMI played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and FURM did not face the same ones. 3rd & 9.0 vs 3rd & 6.6

Kickoff149 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

FURM (top)VMI (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: FURM 100%

Closing line

FURM −21.5

Closing total

44.5

Model line

—

Actual result

VMI 3 – 37 FURM

VMI

PassCollin Shannon 14/27, 148 YDS, 1 INT
RushHunter Rice 15 CAR, 47 YDS
RecIvan Thorpe 3 REC, 48 YDS

Furman

PassCarson Jones 18/23, 226 YDS, 4 TD
RushWayne Anderson Jr. 14 CAR, 56 YDS
RecKyndel Dean 3 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD

28.3sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

127

Points / snap

0.31

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

FURM up 37 entering the 4th quarter. Across 310 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

FURM went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WEastern Washington vs Cal Poly48-16 WWest Virginia vs BYU37-7 WMiami vs Florida A&M56-9 WUNLV vs Utah Tech72-14 WMurray State vs Mississippi Valley State59-8

FAQ

What was the final score of VMI vs. Furman?

VMI 3, Furman 37.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (FURM) was correct.

VMI

FURM

26%

Success rate

40%

-0.09

EPA / pass

0.51

-0.03

EPA / rush

-0.18

29%

Early-down success

42%

22%

Pass success

46%

32%

Rush success

35%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

24%

Stuffed rush rate

16%

60%

Pass rate

43%

9.0

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.6

VMI

9.0 yards to go on 3rd down

62 scrimmage snaps

FURM

6.6 yards to go on 3rd down

65 scrimmage snaps

VMI		FURM
189	Total yards	351
159	Passing yards	226
30	Rushing yards	125
13	First downs	17
2-12	3rd down	5-14
0-0	4th down	0-1
15/28	Comp/Att	20/27
5.7	Yards per pass	8.4
0.9	Yards per rush	3.3
2	Turnovers	0
3-35	Penalties	4-25
28:58	Possession	31:02

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

VMITeam statsFURM

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of VMI vs. Furman?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

VMI vs. Furman: Final Score & Recap

VMITeam statsFURM

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of VMI vs. Furman?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?