Louisiana vs. Delaware: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
ULTeam statsDEL
- Q4 7:49ULShelton Sampson Jr. 8 Yd pass from Lunch Winfield (Tony Sterner Kick)13–20
- Q3 2:31ULTony Sterner 39 Yd Field Goal 6–20
- Q3 6:59DELNate Reed 27 Yd Field Goal 3–20
- Q3 12:40DELSean Wilson 35 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Nate Reed Kick)3–17
- Q2 0:28DELNate Reed 33 Yd Field Goal 3–10
- Q2 7:05ULTony Sterner 22 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 0:18DELJo Silver 61 Yd Run (Nate Reed Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = UL ahead, below = DEL ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassLunch Winfield 21/36, 231 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushLunch Winfield 14 CAR, 40 YDS
- RecCaden Jensen 4 REC, 72 YDS
- PassNick Minicucci 19/30, 176 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJo Silver 14 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
- RecSean Wilson 8 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Louisiana vs. Delaware?
Louisiana 13, Delaware 20.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked UL, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| UL | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 335 | Total yards | 334 |
| 231 | Passing yards | 176 |
| 104 | Rushing yards | 158 |
| 20 | First downs | 16 |
| 6-17 | 3rd down | 6-14 |
| 3-5 | 4th down | 0-2 |
| 21/38 | Comp/Att | 19/30 |
| 6.1 | Yards per pass | 5.9 |
| 2.7 | Yards per rush | 5.3 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 1-5 | Penalties | 2-29 |
| 33:55 | Possession | 26:05 |
- Q4 7:49ULShelton Sampson Jr. 8 Yd pass from Lunch Winfield (Tony Sterner Kick)13–20
- Q3 2:31ULTony Sterner 39 Yd Field Goal 6–20
- Q3 6:59DELNate Reed 27 Yd Field Goal 3–20
- Q3 12:40DELSean Wilson 35 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Nate Reed Kick)3–17
- Q2 0:28DELNate Reed 33 Yd Field Goal 3–10
- Q2 7:05ULTony Sterner 22 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 0:18DELJo Silver 61 Yd Run (Nate Reed Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (DEL Elo 1339, UL Elo 1351 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects DEL +0.5 (50% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| UL | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| -20.6 (#126) | CORE overall | -15.0 (#107) |
| -8 / +13 | offense / defense | -5 / +10 |
| 2.09 | points / drive | 2.26 |
| 2.56 | allowed / drive | 2.63 |
| 31% | three-and-outs | 23% |
| -9 | pass over expected | +10 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →