Kent State vs. Oklahoma: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
KENTTeam statsOU
- Q3 3:55OUIsaiah Sategna III 9 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tate Sandell Kick)0–44
- Q3 6:35OUMichael Hawkins Jr. 7 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)0–37
- Q3 10:17OUGracen Halton 4 Yd Fumble Return (Tate Sandell Kick)0–30
- Q2 0:56OUTate Sandell 55 Yd Field Goal 0–23
- Q2 9:09OUTate Sandell 39 Yd Field Goal 0–20
- Q2 14:28OUKaden Helms 3 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tate Sandell Kick)0–17
- Q1 5:41OUTate Sandell 49 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 9:55OUIsaiah Sategna III 30 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tate Sandell Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassDevin Kargman 8/16, 74 YDS, 1 INT
- RushJordan Nubin 7 CAR, 18 YDS
- RecArdell Banks 1 REC, 34 YDS
- PassMichael Hawkins Jr. 14/24, 162 YDS, 3 TD
- RushTory Blaylock 15 CAR, 78 YDS
- RecIsaiah Sategna III 4 REC, 75 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOU up 44 entering the 4th quarter. Across 179 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 9:55OU +8%
Sandell,Tate kick attempt good PENALTY OU Personal Foul (Baklenko,Luke) 15 yards from KSU03 to KSU18. NO PLAY
FAQ
What was the final score of Kent State vs. Oklahoma?
Kent State 0, Oklahoma 44.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OU) was correct.
| KENT | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| 135 | Total yards | 355 |
| 118 | Passing yards | 170 |
| 17 | Rushing yards | 185 |
| 7 | First downs | 23 |
| 2-13 | 3rd down | 7-13 |
| 1-3 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 10/19 | Comp/Att | 15/27 |
| 6.2 | Yards per pass | 6.3 |
| 0.5 | Yards per rush | 4.5 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 4-19 | Penalties | 6-72 |
| 28:58 | Possession | 31:02 |
Costliest call
Q2 4:55 KENT go for it on 4th & 4 at OU 21. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.20 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q3 3:55OUIsaiah Sategna III 9 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tate Sandell Kick)0–44
- Q3 6:35OUMichael Hawkins Jr. 7 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)0–37
- Q3 10:17OUGracen Halton 4 Yd Fumble Return (Tate Sandell Kick)0–30
- Q2 0:56OUTate Sandell 55 Yd Field Goal 0–23
- Q2 9:09OUTate Sandell 39 Yd Field Goal 0–20
- Q2 14:28OUKaden Helms 3 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tate Sandell Kick)0–17
- Q1 5:41OUTate Sandell 49 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 9:55OUIsaiah Sategna III 30 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tate Sandell Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OU Elo 1748, KENT Elo 859 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects OU -38 (98% to win) — 8.5 points clear of KENT's market line of -46.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| KENT | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| -19.8 (#125) | CORE overall | +17.8 (#21) |
| -5 / +14 | offense / defense | -2 / -19 |
| 1.65 | points / drive | 1.93 |
| 2.87 | allowed / drive | 1.22 |
| 34% | three-and-outs | 26% |
| -4 | pass over expected | +5 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →