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Kent State vs. Oklahoma: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Oct 4, 8:00 PM
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| OU | 10 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 44 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
OU 1748
KENT 859
Projected spread
OU -38
incl. home edge
Model pick
OU
100% to win
Market spread
OU -46.5
sportsbook line
Model edge
KENT
8.5 pts of value
Win prob: model / mkt
100%
OU (no market)
Our model blends Elo ratings (OU Elo 1748, KENT Elo 859) plus home-field advantage. That projects OU -38 (100% to win) — 8.5 points of value on KENT versus the market line of -46.5.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
OU (top)KENT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: OU 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
KENT2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedOU
Offense
0.09
PPA / play
0.1036%
Success rate
40%1.38
Explosiveness
1.253.42
Pts / opportunity
3.7763%
Power success
64%Defense
0.19
PPA allowed / play
0.0043%
Success rate allowed
32%1.29
Explosiveness allowed
1.3214%
Havoc rate
23%18%
Stuff rate
29%Key matchups · Pro
- KENT pass offense (0.29 PPA) vs. OU pass defense (0.09 allowed) — edge KENT.
- OU rush offense (0.00 PPA) vs. KENT rush defense (0.16 allowed) — edge KENT.
- OU pass offense (0.20 PPA) vs. KENT pass defense (0.26 allowed) — edge KENT.
Drive-by-drive
KENT 1/12 scoring drives← own end zone →OU 7/11 scoring drives
KENTPUNT6 pl, 22 yds· own 15Q1
OUTD4 pl, 42 yds· opp 42Q1
KENTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 21Q1
OUFG6 pl, 24 yds· own 45Q1
KENTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q1
OUTD9 pl, 74 yds· own 26Q1
KENTPUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 25Q2
OUFG7 pl, 32 yds· own 47Q2
KENTDOWNS9 pl, 54 yds· own 25Q2
OUFG10 pl, 42 yds· own 21Q2
KENTEND2 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q2
OUPUNT9 pl, 41 yds· own 13Q3
KENTTD3 pl, -6 yds· own 10Q3
KENTPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 2Q3
OUTD3 pl, 18 yds· opp 18Q3
KENTINT2 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q3
OUTD6 pl, 30 yds· opp 30Q3
KENTPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 25Q3
OUPUNT3 pl, -6 yds· own 47Q3
KENTPUNT5 pl, 19 yds· own 25Q3
OUPUNT12 pl, 40 yds· own 15Q4
KENTDOWNS10 pl, 54 yds· own 1Q4
OUEND2 pl, 21 yds· own 45Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
OU up 44 entering the 4th quarter. Across 179 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
OU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Kent State vs. Oklahoma?
Kent State 0, Oklahoma 44.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had OU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.