Kent State vs. Akron: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
KENTTeam statsAKR
- OT 0:00KENTArdell Banks 25 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)42–35
- Q4 1:59AKRIsrael Polk 13 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Marcel Williams Pass to Ben Finley for Two-Point Conversion)35–35
- Q4 7:12AKRMatthew Schramm 20 Yd Field Goal 35–27
- Q4 10:53AKRMarcel Williams 12 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Matthew Schramm Kick)35–24
- Q4 14:04KENTDashawn Martin 27 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)35–17
- Q3 6:18KENTTerik Mulder 7 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)28–17
- Q3 8:52KENTCade Wolford 43 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)21–17
- Q2 0:10AKRMarcel Williams 30 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Matthew Schramm Kick)14–17
- Q2 2:50KENTDa'Realyst Clark 89 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)14–10
- Q2 7:51AKRJordan Gant 4 Yd Run (Matthew Schramm Kick)7–10
- Q1 3:51KENTGavin Garcia 3 Yd Run (Will Hryszko Kick)7–3
- Q1 8:43AKRMatthew Schramm 29 Yd Field Goal 0–3
How the model called it
- PassDru DeShields 17/25, 317 YDS, 5 TD
- RushGavin Garcia 7 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDa'Realyst Clark 1 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
- PassBen Finley 32/59, 424 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushJordan Gant 22 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
- RecMarcel Williams 14 REC, 206 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsKENT up 11 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,142 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- OT 0:00KENT +81%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep right to #13 A.Banks caught at AKRON02, for 25 yards to the AKRON00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q4 0:06AKR +71%
PENALTY AKRON Delay Of Game (#72 C.Lyons) 5 yards from KENT45 to KENT50. NO PLAY
- Q4 0:28KENT +60%
#61 C.Durkin punt 41 yards to the AKRON36
- Q4 1:59AKR +58%
PENALTY KENT Targeting (#21 J.Cordoba) 15 yards from AKRON35 to AKRON50. NO PLAY
- Q3 8:52KENT +27%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #21 C.Wolford caught at AKRON42, for 43 yards to the AKRON00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q2 2:50KENT +26%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #30 D.Clark caught at KENT40, for 89 yards to the AKRON00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of Kent State vs. Akron?
Kent State 42, Akron 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked AKR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| KENT | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 374 | Total yards | 530 |
| 317 | Passing yards | 424 |
| 57 | Rushing yards | 106 |
| 14 | First downs | 32 |
| 3-9 | 3rd down | 7-19 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-4 |
| 17/25 | Comp/Att | 32/59 |
| 12.7 | Yards per pass | 7.2 |
| 2.6 | Yards per rush | 2.9 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-71 | Penalties | 3-30 |
| 21:20 | Possession | 38:40 |
Costliest call
Q4 7:12 AKR field goal on 4th & 2 at KENT 2. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.39 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- OT 0:00KENTArdell Banks 25 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)42–35
- Q4 1:59AKRIsrael Polk 13 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Marcel Williams Pass to Ben Finley for Two-Point Conversion)35–35
- Q4 7:12AKRMatthew Schramm 20 Yd Field Goal 35–27
- Q4 10:53AKRMarcel Williams 12 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Matthew Schramm Kick)35–24
- Q4 14:04KENTDashawn Martin 27 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)35–17
- Q3 6:18KENTTerik Mulder 7 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)28–17
- Q3 8:52KENTCade Wolford 43 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)21–17
- Q2 0:10AKRMarcel Williams 30 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Matthew Schramm Kick)14–17
- Q2 2:50KENTDa'Realyst Clark 89 Yd pass from Dru DeShields (Will Hryszko Kick)14–10
- Q2 7:51AKRJordan Gant 4 Yd Run (Matthew Schramm Kick)7–10
- Q1 3:51KENTGavin Garcia 3 Yd Run (Will Hryszko Kick)7–3
- Q1 8:43AKRMatthew Schramm 29 Yd Field Goal 0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (AKR Elo 1114, KENT Elo 945 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects AKR -9.2 (74% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesAkron leads 26–19–1 · 43% have been one-possession games
| KENT | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| -19.8 (#125) | CORE overall | -21.3 (#128) |
| -5 / +14 | offense / defense | -13 / +8 |
| 1.65 | points / drive | 1.55 |
| 2.87 | allowed / drive | 2.41 |
| 34% | three-and-outs | 30% |
| -4 | pass over expected | +3 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →