| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| CMU | 14 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (CMU Elo 1094, EMU Elo 1223) plus home-field advantage. That projects CMU +2.8 (42% to win) — 5.8 points of value on EMU versus the market line of -3.
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = EMU ahead, below = CMU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- CMU rush offense (0.07 PPA) vs. EMU rush defense (0.19 allowed) — edge EMU.
- EMU rush offense (0.14 PPA) vs. CMU rush defense (0.04 allowed) — edge EMU.
- EMU pass offense (0.28 PPA) vs. CMU pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge EMU.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
CMU up 8 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,588 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan?
Eastern Michigan 13, Central Michigan 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked EMU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had EMU pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.