Bobby Dodd StadiumConference gameClosing line: CLEM +-3 · GT covered
Sat, Sep 13, 4:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| GT | 3 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 24 |
Our model blends Elo ratings (GT Elo 1557, CLEM Elo 1696) plus home-field advantage. That projects GT +3.2 (41% to win), essentially in line with the market.
CLEM up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,678 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Clemson 21, Georgia Tech 24.
No — the model picked CLEM, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had CLEM pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 73 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted Omar Daniels return for 45 yds to the CLEM 48
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 8
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