UVA Wise vs. East Tennessee State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
UVA Wise
East Tennessee State0-1
▸Final
William B. Greene Jr. Stadium
UVA Team statsEAST
114Total yards614
84Pass360
30Rush254
5First downs27
3-173rd down4-12
2Turnovers0
30:10Possession29:50
- Q4 9:01EASTTorey Lambert 3 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–61
- Q4 13:21EASTEwan Johnson 36 Yd Field Goal 0–54
- Q3 5:32EASTEwan Johnson 27 Yd Field Goal 0–51
- Q3 9:01EASTTrey Foster 1 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–48
- Q3 12:45EASTJonathan Burns 33 Yd pass from Gino English (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–41
- Q2 7:57EASTXavier Gaillardetz 37 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–34
- Q2 11:14EASTNick Hunter 13 Yd Interception Return (Ewan Johnson PAT failed)0–27
- Q2 12:07EASTAJ Johnson 8 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–21
- Q1 11:10EASTEphraim Floyd 9 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:25EASTCameron Lewis 12 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–7
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
EAST (top)UVA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: EAST 100%
UVA Wise
- PassJake Corkren 8/24, 59 YDS, 1 INT
- RushDejauvis Dozier 11 CAR, 19 YDS
- RecDJ Powell 3 REC, 47 YDS
East Tennessee State
- PassJaylen King 16/27, 186 YDS, 4 TD
- RushBryson Irby 7 CAR, 71 YDS
- RecJonathan Burns 3 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
25.3sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
142
Points / snap
0.43
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsEAST up 51 entering the 4th quarter. Across 75 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
EAST went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of UVA Wise vs. East Tennessee State?
UVA Wise 0, East Tennessee State 61.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (EAST) was correct.
UVA
EAST
15%
Success rate
49%
-0.37
EPA / pass
0.39
-0.42
EPA / rush
0.21
12%
Early-down success
54%
13%
Pass success
46%
17%
Rush success
54%
5%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
17%
33%
Stuffed rush rate
16%
51%
Pass rate
54%
8.3
Avg 3rd-down distance
7.5
UVA
8.3 yards to go on 3rd down
61 scrimmage snaps
EAST
7.5 yards to go on 3rd down
81 scrimmage snaps
| UVA | EAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 114 | Total yards | 614 |
| 84 | Passing yards | 360 |
| 30 | Rushing yards | 254 |
| 5 | First downs | 27 |
| 3-17 | 3rd down | 4-12 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 1-3 |
| 10/27 | Comp/Att | 26/42 |
| 3.1 | Yards per pass | 8.6 |
| 1.0 | Yards per rush | 6.9 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 8-65 | Penalties | 1-10 |
| 30:10 | Possession | 29:50 |
UVA
10/12 with the model
−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
EAST
7/7 with the model
nothing given up
Costliest call
Q1 5:36 UVA punt on 4th & 15 at EAST 36. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.75 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishUVA 1/17 scoring drives← own end zone →EAST 9/15 scoring drives
UVA FUM1 pl, -6 yds· own 25Q1
EASTTD2 pl, 19 yds· opp 19Q1
UVA PUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 25Q1
EASTTD5 pl, 57 yds· own 43Q1
UVA PUNT11 pl, 45 yds· own 19Q1
EASTDOWNS7 pl, 55 yds· own 8Q1
UVA PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 37Q1
EASTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 33Q1
UVA PUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 29Q1
EASTTD8 pl, 51 yds· own 49Q2
UVA TD3 pl, 1 yds· own 23Q2
UVA PUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q2
EASTTD4 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q2
UVA PUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q2
EASTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 20Q2
UVA PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 32Q2
EASTMISS11 pl, 56 yds· own 21Q2
UVA END1 pl, -1 yds· own 23Q2
EASTPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 29Q3
UVA PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 31Q3
EASTTD2 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q3
UVA PUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 20Q3
EASTTD5 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q3
UVA PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 17Q3
EASTFG8 pl, 53 yds· own 37Q3
UVA PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q3
EASTFG10 pl, 50 yds· own 31Q3
UVA PUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q4
EASTTD6 pl, 51 yds· own 49Q4
UVA DOWNS7 pl, 33 yds· own 25Q4
EASTDOWNS5 pl, 33 yds· own 42Q4
UVA END3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q4
- Q4 9:01EASTTorey Lambert 3 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–61
- Q4 13:21EASTEwan Johnson 36 Yd Field Goal 0–54
- Q3 5:32EASTEwan Johnson 27 Yd Field Goal 0–51
- Q3 9:01EASTTrey Foster 1 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–48
- Q3 12:45EASTJonathan Burns 33 Yd pass from Gino English (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–41
- Q2 7:57EASTXavier Gaillardetz 37 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–34
- Q2 11:14EASTNick Hunter 13 Yd Interception Return (Ewan Johnson PAT failed)0–27
- Q2 12:07EASTAJ Johnson 8 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–21
- Q1 11:10EASTEphraim Floyd 9 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:25EASTCameron Lewis 12 Yd pass from Jaylen King (Ewan Johnson Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →