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Texas State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 16-13 · AdjEM -5.4, 248 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-5.4248 of 364
AdjO
102.7272 of 364
AdjD
108.0212 of 364
AdjT
68.6261 of 364

Texas State went from -1.7 (#239) on 2025-11-10 to -5.4 (#248) on 2026-04-06, peaking at -1.7 (#239) on 2025-11-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.0%241
TOV%
17.5%311
OREB%
58.0%338
FTA/FGA
34.1%201
Opp eFG%
52.5%241
Opp TOV%
17.3%73
DREB%
47.4%8
Opp FTA/FGA
39.1%285

Games16-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Texas State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03@Bowling GreenL 48-83—
11-03@UL Monroe——
11-08@TulaneL 71-79—
11-12vsUTSAW 80-69+18.1
11-15vsTexas SouthernW 77-67+19.2
11-18vsAbilene ChristianW 63-49+8.7
11-21vsLittle RockW 65-56+11.3
11-28@Seattle UL 52-66-13.9
11-29vsLehighL 74-78+10.7
12-03@RiceL 72-77-7.1
12-10vsSouthernW 86-83+7.2
12-17vsArkansas StateL 70-89+2.3
12-20vsSouth AlabamaW 67-65+1.4
12-31@TroyL 80-100-11.9
01-03@UL MonroeW 84-79-0.7
01-08@Southern MissL 70-80-11.2
01-10@Arkansas StateL 82-83-12.5
01-14vsLouisianaW 59-54+8.9
01-17vsSouthern MissW 74-67+0.0
01-22@Coastal CarolinaL 70-72-7.4
01-24@James MadisonL 57-82-6.6
01-28vsMarshallW 72-68-4.1
01-31vsOld DominionW 81-64+1.0
02-04@Georgia SouthernW 77-71-5.5
02-07vsWestern MichiganW 77-61+4.8
02-11vsTroyW 74-62-3.1
02-14vsUL MonroeW 95-84+12.4
02-19@South AlabamaW 90-82-6.8
02-21@LouisianaL 54-67+0.9
03-06vsSouthern MissL 77-81+3.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.