Dev

Mitch Trubisky

QB·North Carolina·2016

Line value

13.6 pts

Mitch Trubisky is a Dual-Threat QB for North Carolina. Mitch's 2016 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 527 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

2016 Production

Passing

304/446

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs QB peers

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (75th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.06 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs James Madison.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6
J.T. Barrett	Ohio State	2017	576	0.593	14.1	341.6
Baker Mayfield	Oklahoma	2015	577	0.561	14.1	323.7
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.4	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsGeorgia	L24-33	9.3	24/40	156	0	0	37.3	7	1	0.01
2	@Illinois	W48-23	-6.7	19/24	265	2	0	93.1	42	2	0.74
3	vsJames Madison	W56-28	—	24/27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

61.7%

Passing plays

97.9%

Rushing plays

19.8%

Standard downs

54.7%

Passing downs

75.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.28
Passing downs: 0.66
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.47 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

2016 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

Mitch Trubisky

North Carolina

Position: QB

2016 Season

Player board →

313.2

Total EPA

0.575

EPA / play

527

Plays

62%

Usage

Pos rank

Last Game

vs StanfordWk 1

EPA 0.3

C/ATT 23/38 · Pass Yds 280 · Pass TD 2 · INT 2