#31Jarvion Franklin

RB·Western Michigan·2017 2016 20144.4 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jarvion Franklin is a 3-year Featured Back for Western Michigan. Jarvion's 2014 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 299 plays — a average rate for the RB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jarvion Franklin's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2014

★★★★★

3-Star · Developmental

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.8089
National rank: #1,690
High school: Victor J Andrew
Hometown: Bolingbrook, IL

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2014 Production

Rushing

1551 Rush yards24 Rush TD306 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

15 Receptions168 Rec yards1 Rec TD11.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs RB peers

Efficiency53
Volume100
Explosiveness42
Consistency68
Receiving25

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency68th %ile · average

Career trajectory:↓ Declining

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.26 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.70 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Eastern Michigan (SP+ -26).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Jonathan Taylor	Wisconsin	2017	307	0.350	4.8	107.4
Jonathan Taylor	Wisconsin	2018	297	0.360	5.0	106.9
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Purdue	L34-43	-6.2	19	163	8.6	3	2	10	0	0.48
3	@Idaho	W45-33	-17.4	33	211	6.4	3	—	—	—	0.38
4	vsMurray State	W45-14	—	30	168	5.6	3	3	30	0	0.40
5	@Virginia Tech	L17-35	7.8	15	76	5.1	2	1	-2	0	0.30
6	vsToledo	L19-20	2.3	20	64	3.2	1	1	18	0	—
7	@Ball State	W42-38	-6.6	24	161	6.7	3	—	—	—	0.48
8	@Bowling Green	W26-14	-5.4	37	149	4.0	1	—	—	—	-0.01
9	vsOhio	W42-21	-11.7	35	156	4.5	3	1	9	0	0.16
10	@Miami (OH)	W41-10	-18.7	29	182	6.3	3	1	4	0	0.20
12	vsEastern Michigan	W51-7	-25.9	5	26	5.2	0	1	54	1	0.70
13	@Central Michigan	W32-20	-5.2	18	77	4.3	1	—	—	—	0.05
14	vsNorthern Illinois	L21-31	-0.6	29	92	3.2	1	5	45	0	0.03
1	vsAir Force	L24-38	-1.4	12	26	2.2	0	—	—	—	-0.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

37.3%

Passing plays

5.2%

Rushing plays

62.4%

Standard downs

43.7%

Passing downs

22.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.20
Passing downs: 0.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.31 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 — 2017 · 38 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2014	Western Michigan	4.4	0.360	—	86.0
2016	Western Michigan	2.0	0.270	-0.09	61.6
2017	Western Michigan	1.8	0.230	-0.04	50.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.