#7Gary Givens III

WR·Northern Illinois·2025

Gary Givens III is a Versatile WR for Northern Illinois.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Gary Givens III's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

12 Receptions145 Rec yards1 Rec TD12.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency0
Volume15
Explosiveness34
Consistency43
Pass-Down0

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency43th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.31 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.84 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -37).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
De'Michael Harris	Southern Miss	2019	117	0.130	0.7	15.2
Hyleck Foster	Marshall	2015	101	0.180	0.5	18.2
Davis Bryson	Kennesaw State	2024	97	0.200	0.0	19.4
Brandon Chatman	Navy	2025	52	0.230	0.6	12.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
2	@Maryland	L9-20	0.6	2	26	13.0	0	15	0.74
4	@Mississippi State	L10-38	4.1	1	19	19.0	0	19	0.86
7	@Eastern Michigan	L10-16	-14.7	3	42	14.0	0	21	-0.14
8	@Ohio	L21-48	-4.0	3	12	4.0	0	6	-0.04
9	vsBall State	W21-7	-23.0	1	11	11.0	0	11	0.08
12	@Massachusetts	W45-3	-36.6	1	31	31.0	1	31	2.84
13	vsWestern Michigan	L19-35	-1.4	1	4	4.0	0	4	-0.53

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

5.3%

Passing plays

16.1%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

4.5%

Passing downs

7.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: -0.31
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.06 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).