#21Brian Battie

RB·South Florida·20222.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Brian Battie is a Featured Back for South Florida. Brian's 2022 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 183 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brian Battie's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Rushing

1186 Rush yards8 Rush TD176 Carries6.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

14 Receptions91 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.5 Yards/rec

Returns

34 Kick returns659 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs RB peers

Efficiency30
Volume73
Explosiveness74
Consistency67
Receiving35

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency67th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.93 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Howard.

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsBYU	L21-50	-1.4	3	14	4.7	1	2	10	0	0.40
2	vsHoward	W42-20	—	7	105	15.0	1	—	—	—	0.93
3	@Florida	L28-31	10.4	17	150	8.8	1	2	7	0	0.32
4	@Louisville	L3-41	9.0	9	26	2.9	0	—	—	—	-0.31
5	vsEast Carolina	L28-48	1.1	15	96	6.4	0	3	10	0	0.40
6	@Cincinnati	L24-28	13.1	23	82	3.6	1	1	1	0	0.14
7	vsTulane	L31-45	12.4	7	20	2.9	0	1	7	0	-0.14
9	@Houston	L27-42	4.5	12	106	8.8	2	4	47	0	0.63
10	@Temple	L28-54	-12.9	19	129	6.8	0	—	—	—	0.29
11	vsSMU	L23-41	4.7	26	145	5.6	0	—	—	—	0.11
12	@Tulsa	L42-48	-6.1	19	169	8.9	1	—	—	—	0.31
13	vsUCF	L39-46	10.3	19	144	7.6	1	1	9	0	0.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

25.4%

Passing plays

4.9%

Rushing plays

41.2%

Standard downs

26.2%

Passing downs

23.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.28
Passing downs: 0.23
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.