Noah Warren vs Pontus Holmberg
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Ducks skaters
- Cutter Gauthier
- Beckett Sennecke
- Mikael Granlund
- A.J. Greer
- Ryan Poehling
- Leo Carlsson
- Jackson LaCombe
- Tristan Luneau
- Pavel Mintyukov
- Tyson Hinds
- Jeff Malott
- Alex Killorn
- Tim Washe
- Nikita Nesterenko
- Sam Colangelo
- Noah Warren
- Frank Vatrano
- Judd Caulfield
- Travis Mitchell
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Pontus Holmberg is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Pontus Holmberg sits in the 76th percentile, Noah Warren the 2nd.
| Measure | Warren | Holmberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 12:45 | 14:30 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.002 pct | 0.2476 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 2.354 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.065 pct | +0.373 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 62.6%79 pct | 50.7%48 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.3312 pct | 2.9070 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 0.8098 pct | 2.8227 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0441 pct | +0.5790 pct |
| Creates per 60 | 0.0037 pct | +0.2370 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0452 pct | +0.3495 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →




































