Hurricanes at Canadiens — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Hurricanes at Canadiens

Carolina Hurricanes(53-22-7)

Montréal Canadiens(48-24-10)

Tue, Oct 6, 7:00 PM EDTTV CARNHL, HHN·Centre Bell

Our win probability

and the three reasons

53%

Hurricanes

to win

47%

Canadiens

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR
.542vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR
.162vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL
-.096vs.129GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors CAR
.860vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MTL
MTL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Hurricanes

Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/60
53% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/60
28% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/60
20% to start58 career GP

Canadiens

Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/60
62% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/60
38% to start81 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · MTL Martin St. Louis

Leaders

vs

S. Aho
80
Points
N. Suzuki
101
A. Svechnikov
31
Goals
C. Caufield
51
S. Aho
53
Assists
N. Suzuki
72

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.552nd
Goals for / game: 7th3.40; 2.885th
Goals against / game: 16th3.06; 24.9%4th
Power play: 10th23.1%; 80.5%11th
Penalty kill: 18th78.2%; 50.1%16th
Faceoffs: 11th51.0%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 6@this game
Nov 19@
Jan 26@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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