Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights
TV ABTV , SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Kings
to win
59%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.489vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.038vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors LAK.035vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.626vs1.035v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: LAK Peter Laviolette · VGK Ryan Craig
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).