Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Grand Casino Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Blackhawks
to win
64%
Wild
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.463vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN-.223vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.081vs-.090GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MIN-.612vs.3315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors MINMIN at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Wild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · MIN John Hynes
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).