Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights
TV SCRIPPS, SNP·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
28%Canucks
to win
72%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.3–3.7
- Goes to overtime
- 19%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.439vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK-.225vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.089vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK-1.04vs1.035v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · VGK Ryan Craig
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).