San Jose Sharks at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, NBCSCA·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Sharks
to win
61%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.479vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.114vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.137vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.077vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).