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Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

TV ABTV , SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Our win probability

and the three reasons
LAK54%
Kings
to win
46%CGY
Flames
Expected goals
LAK 3.1–2.9 CGY
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors LAKfavors CGY →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors LAK
    .489vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK
    .038vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signaleven
    .035vs.016GSAx / 60
  • Projected lineupsfavors LAK
    .626vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
  • Home icefavors CGY
    CGY at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
LAKKings
CGYFlames

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: LAK Peter Laviolette · CGY Ryan Huska

Leaders

LAKvsCGY

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
LAKCGY
2.6829th
Goals for / game
32nd2.54
2.907th
Goals against / game
21st3.12
17.0%28th
Power play
31st16.2%
74.6%30th
Penalty kill
12th80.4%
49.8%17th
Faceoffs
21st49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).