Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Stars
to win
57%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.527vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.038vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL.109vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.390vs.8605v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.339th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 2.712nd
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 28.6%2nd
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 80.3%13th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 51.6%7th
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).