Blues at Canucks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Blues at Canucks

St. Louis Blues(37-33-12)

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Sat, Mar 20, 10:00 PM EDTTV STLNHL, BN+·Rogers Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

54%

Blues

to win

46%

Canucks

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL
.503vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL
.049vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors STL
-.062vs-.089GSAx / 60
Home icefavors VAN
VAN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Blues

Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/60
65% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/60
32% to start115 career GP
Georgii Romanov-0.23 GSAx/60
3% to start10 career GP

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · VAN Manny Malhotra

Leaders

vs

R. Thomas
64
Points
E. Pettersson
51
R. Thomas
25
Goals
J. DeBrusk
23
R. Thomas
39
Assists
F. Hronek
41

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.8024th
Goals for / game: 30th2.56; 3.1019th
Goals against / game: 32nd3.83; 17.6%26th
Power play: 14th21.8%; 76.7%25th
Penalty kill: 32nd71.5%; 49.4%19th
Faceoffs: 22nd49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Jan 30@
Feb 25@
Mar 20@this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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