Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers
TV ABC·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Penguins
to win
49%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.510vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT.036vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR-.237vs.114GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PIT1.11vs.3305v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersPenguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PIT Dan Muse · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
B. Rust29 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).