Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth
TV CHSN, Utah16·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Blackhawks
to win
57%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.463vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.223vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.081vs.030GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
- Back-to-backfavors CHIUTA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).