San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks
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Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Sharks
to win
54%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors SJS.479vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SJS-.114vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CHI-.137vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SJS.077vs-.6125v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
- Back-to-backfavors SJSSJS played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).