Blues at Kraken — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Blues at Kraken

St. Louis Blues(37-33-12)

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Mon, Mar 15, 9:40 PM EDTTV STLNHL, BN+·Climate Pledge Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

50%

Blues

to win

50%

Kraken

Expected goals: 3.0–3.0
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL
.503vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL
.049vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signaleven
-.062vs-.072GSAx / 60
Home icefavors SEA
SEA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Blues

Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/60
65% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/60
32% to start115 career GP
Georgii Romanov-0.23 GSAx/60
3% to start10 career GP

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · SEA Lane Lambert

Leaders

vs

R. Thomas
64
Points
J. Eberle
55
R. Thomas
25
Goals
B. McMann
29
R. Thomas
39
Assists
V. Dunn
33

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.8024th
Goals for / game: 28th2.73; 3.1019th
Goals against / game: 23rd3.13; 17.6%26th
Power play: 20th19.5%; 76.7%25th
Penalty kill: 31st72.2%; 49.4%19th
Faceoffs: 27th47.7%

Season series

first meeting

Feb 13@
Mar 15@this game
Apr 8@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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