Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth
TV Prime Video, Utah16·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Stars
to win
52%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.527vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.038vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL.109vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupseven.390vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).