San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues
TV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Sharks
to win
58%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.479vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL-.114vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors STL-.137vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors STL.077vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).