Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks
TV TNT, truTV·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Capitals
to win
50%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH.013vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.165vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
- Back-to-backfavors WSHWSH played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.1815th
- Goals for / game
- 30th2.56
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 27th3.29
- 17.8%25th
- Power play
- 29th16.9%
- 80.1%14th
- Penalty kill
- 2nd83.6%
- 49.3%20th
- Faceoffs
- 31st46.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).