Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers
TV CHSN, SN·Rogers Place
Our win probability
and the three reasons
30%Blackhawks
to win
70%
Oilers
- Expected goals
- 2.4–3.6
- Goes to overtime
- 20%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.463vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM-.223vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM-.081vs.037GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors EDM-.612vs.4755v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors EDMEDM at home
- Back-to-backfavors CHICHI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Oilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · EDM Mike Babcock
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).