Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins
TV ABC, SN1·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Penguins
to win
53%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.510vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT.036vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.237vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersPenguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PIT Dan Muse · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
B. Rust29 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).