Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils
TV MSGSN, SCRIPPS·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
54%Golden Knights
to win
46%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NJD-.050vs-.001GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK1.03vs.4185v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
- Back-to-backfavors VGKVGK and NJD played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6083% to start526 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6017% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2214th
- Goals for / game
- 27th2.76
- 2.9512th
- Goals against / game
- 18th3.09
- 24.6%6th
- Power play
- 13th22.0%
- 81.4%7th
- Penalty kill
- 17th79.3%
- 51.0%12th
- Faceoffs
- 14th50.5%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).