Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks
TV CHSN, SNP·Rogers Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Blackhawks
to win
51%
Canucks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CHI.463vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VAN-.223vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.081vs-.089GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CHI-.612vs-1.045v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VANVAN at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Canucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · VAN Manny Malhotra
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).