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Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins

TV ABC, SN·TD Garden

Our win probability

and the three reasons
DET46%
Red Wings
to win
54%BOS
Bruins
Expected goals
DET 2.9–3.1 BOS
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors DETfavors BOS →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS
    .496vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DET
    -.060vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS
    -.027vs.201GSAx / 60
  • Home icefavors BOS
    BOS at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
DETRed Wings
BOSBruins

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · BOS Marco Sturm

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
DETBOS
2.9122nd
Goals for / game
10th3.27
3.1019th
Goals against / game
14th3.01
22.6%12th
Power play
9th23.4%
77.1%23rd
Penalty kill
24th77.0%
51.0%10th
Faceoffs
4th53.1%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).