Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights
TV Prime Video, KCOP-13·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
38%Ducks
to win
62%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.486vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.009vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.049vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.007vs.8215v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDucks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · VGK Ryan Craig
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).