New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks
TV CHSN, MSGSN·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Islanders
to win
51%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors NYI.488vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYI-.069vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI.078vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NYI-.034vs-.6125v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
- Back-to-backfavors NYINYI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersIslanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYI Peter DeBoer · CHI Jeff Blashill
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).