Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators
TV SCRIPPS, TSN4·Bridgestone Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Maple Leafs
to win
56%
Predators
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors NSH.479vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NSH-.113vs-.0685v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors TOR.052vs.017GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NSHNSH at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMaple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky-0.01 GSAx/6070% to start923 career GP
Anthony Stolarz+0.20 GSAx/6030% to start176 career GP
Predators
Juuse Saros+0.01 GSAx/6076% to start490 career GP
Justus Annunen+0.03 GSAx/6024% to start80 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: TOR Jim Hiller · NSH Andrew Brunette
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0716th
- Goals for / game
- 20th2.95
- 3.6031st
- Goals against / game
- 26th3.26
- 21.3%15th
- Power play
- 11th23.1%
- 81.2%8th
- Penalty kill
- 5th81.7%
- 54.2%3rd
- Faceoffs
- 15th50.5%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).