Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders
TV MINNHL, Wild+·UBS Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
55%Wild
to win
45%
Islanders
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.511vs.488win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN.010vs-.0695v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI-.090vs.078GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NYINYI at home
- Back-to-backfavors MINNYI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Islanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · NYI Peter DeBoer
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 2.874th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 25.2%3rd
- Power play
- 30th16.5%
- 79.8%16th
- Penalty kill
- 10th80.8%
- 46.6%30th
- Faceoffs
- 5th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).