Dallas Stars at Florida Panthers
TV Prime Video, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Stars
to win
50%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.527vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.038vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL.109vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors FLA.390vs.4945v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
- Back-to-backfavors DALDAL and FLA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.339th
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 2.712nd
- Goals against / game
- 28th3.34
- 28.6%2nd
- Power play
- 19th19.5%
- 80.3%13th
- Penalty kill
- 9th81.0%
- 51.6%7th
- Faceoffs
- 29th46.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).