Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers
TV ALT2, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
56%Avalanche
to win
44%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.096vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.631st
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 2.401st
- Goals against / game
- 28th3.34
- 17.1%27th
- Power play
- 19th19.5%
- 84.6%1st
- Penalty kill
- 9th81.0%
- 51.2%8th
- Faceoffs
- 29th46.8%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).