Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings
TV DSN, ABTV ·Crypto.com Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Red Wings
to win
55%
Kings
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DET.496vs.489win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK-.060vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors LAK-.027vs.035GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors LAKLAK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRed Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
Kings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · LAK Peter Laviolette
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).