Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Canadian Tire Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
38%Blue Jackets
to win
62%
Senators
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors OTT.496vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT.058vs.1075v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CBJ.035vs-.066GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors OTT.300vs.6095v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors OTTOTT at home
- Back-to-backfavors CBJCBJ played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
Senators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CBJ Rick Bowness · OTT Travis Green
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).